Kidney Failure Risk Calculator

Kidney Failure Risk Calculator
years
Sex
mL/min/1.73m²
mg/g
2-Year Risk:
5-Year Risk:
Awaiting Input
Enter all values to compute the kidney failure risk.
Predicts progression to kidney failure in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD).

Formula

The probability of kidney failure at 5 years is calculated by the following formula: North America Probability = 1 - 0.9096 x Non-North America Probability = 1 - 0.9245 x Where x = exp(-0.1992 × (age/10 - 7.036) + 0.1602 × (male - 0.5642) - 0.4919 × (eGFR/5 - 7.222) + 0.3364 × (log( ACR )- 5.137) - 0.3441 × (albumin - 3.997) + 0.2604 × (phosphorous - 3.916) - 0.07354 × (bicarbonate - 25.57) - 0.2228 × (calcium - 9.355))

Pearls / Pitfalls

Derived and initially validated in data from patients in nephrology clinics; likely has limited validity in patients who are acutely ill.

Management

Lower-risk patients may be best managed by a primary care physician, with higher-risk patients likely benefiting from management by a nephrologist.

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